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Trial registered on ANZCTR
Registration number
ACTRN12623000209695
Ethics application status
Approved
Date submitted
12/02/2023
Date registered
27/02/2023
Date last updated
23/06/2024
Date data sharing statement initially provided
27/02/2023
Type of registration
Prospectively registered
Titles & IDs
Public title
PERsonalised Selection Of medication for Newly diagnosed Adult epiLepsy - the PERSONAL Trial
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Scientific title
Effectiveness of a machine learning model for personalised drug selection in newly diagnosed epilepsy: a randomised controlled trial
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Secondary ID [1]
308948
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None
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Universal Trial Number (UTN)
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Trial acronym
PERSONAL
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Linked study record
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Health condition
Health condition(s) or problem(s) studied:
Epilepsy
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Condition category
Condition code
Neurological
325966
325966
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0
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Epilepsy
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Intervention/exposure
Study type
Interventional
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Description of intervention(s) / exposure
A machine learning based clinical decision support software (CDSS) to assist the neurologist in recommending the initial anti-seizure medication prescription for newly diagnosed epilepsy.
The CDSS has been designed specifically for use in this study. The CDSS functions through input of 16 baseline clinical factors by the neurologist including patient demographics, medical history, family history, epilepsy risk factors, number of pre-treatment seizures, EEG results and MRI results. It also uses the input of deidentified report text from a routine EEG and brain MRI report. The model will provide a recommendation of a single anti-seizure medication with which the participant has the highest probability of attaining seizure freedom.
Training required to utilise the model will be provided by the main site study coordinator in a single remote session taking approximately 30 minutes. This training will detail what is required to access the data entry point for the model, the format of the data required and how the recommendation will be displayed.
It is anticipated that it will take approximately 15 minutes per participant to input the data and receive the recommendation from the program.
Data entry for the model and the recommendation produced are intrinsically tied to the study REDCap database which is updated anytime the model is utilised. This database has auditing tools for tracking changes made to entries and as such can be used to monitor model utilisation.
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Intervention code [1]
325412
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Treatment: Devices
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Comparator / control treatment
Control group is usual care with anti-seizure prescription made by the neurologist only using their clinical judgement.
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Control group
Active
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Outcomes
Primary outcome [1]
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Proportion of patients who are seizure-free while taking the first anti-seizure medication assessed through use of a participant seizure diary that is reviewed at each of the epilepsy clinic visits.
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Assessment method [1]
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Timepoint [1]
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Assessed for any seizures at each of the study site visits up to 52-weeks post intervention commencement
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Secondary outcome [1]
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Treatment failure as reported by the neurologist while reviewing the participant at each of the study site visits.
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Assessment method [1]
418374
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Timepoint [1]
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Time to stop the initial anti-seizure medication due to inadequate seizure control or intolerable side-effects, or both, or the addition of another anti-seizure medication, whichever is earliest.
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Secondary outcome [2]
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Seizures
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Assessment method [2]
418375
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Timepoint [2]
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Review of seizure diary at baseline, 8 weeks, 16 weeks, 28 weeks, 40 weeks and 52 weeks post intervention commencement.
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Secondary outcome [3]
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Direct healthcare costs
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Assessment method [3]
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Timepoint [3]
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Review of patient managed cost diary at 28-weeks and 52-weeks post intervention commencement
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Secondary outcome [4]
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Indirect healthcare costs measured in terms of productivity loss
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Assessment method [4]
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Timepoint [4]
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Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - General Health questionnaire conducted at baseline, 28 weeks and 52 weeks post intervention commencement.
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Secondary outcome [5]
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Depression
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Assessment method [5]
418417
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Timepoint [5]
418417
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Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale questionnaire conducted at baseline, 28 weeks and 52 weeks post intervention commencement.
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Secondary outcome [6]
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Quality of life
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Assessment method [6]
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Timepoint [6]
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EQ-5L conducted at baseline, 28 weeks and 52 weeks post intervention commencement.
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Secondary outcome [7]
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Clinical acceptance
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Assessment method [7]
418419
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Timepoint [7]
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Review of Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology 2 (UTAUT2) conducted prior to trial commencement and at trial completion as a study-specific questionnaire distributed to participants and neurologists.
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Secondary outcome [8]
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Anxiety
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Assessment method [8]
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Timepoint [8]
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Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale questionnaire conducted at baseline, 28 weeks and 52 weeks post intervention commencement.
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Secondary outcome [9]
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Quality of life
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Assessment method [9]
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Timepoint [9]
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Quality of Life in Epilepsy Inventory-31 conducted at baseline, 28 weeks and 52 weeks post intervention commencement.
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Eligibility
Key inclusion criteria
- Diagnosis of epilepsy consistent with International League against Epilepsy (ILAE) criteria, defined as either:
(1) at least two seizures within the past 12 months,
or (2) one seizure within the past 6 months and epileptiform discharges on electroencephalography (EEG), or presence of epileptogenic lesion on computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)
- EEG and MRI brain done with 6 months prior to randomisation (MRI can be substituted with epileptogenic lesion shown on CT)
- Either naive to anti-seizure medication (ASM) treatment or has been treated with a single ASM for 14 days or less before randomisation
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Minimum age
18
Years
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Maximum age
65
Years
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Sex
Both males and females
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Can healthy volunteers participate?
No
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Key exclusion criteria
- Previously treated epilepsy or current use of ASM for any reason for more than 14 days
- Pregnant or breast-feeding
- Current substance abuse disorder that may affect treatment adherence or response
- Unable/failed to undergo EEG or brain CT or MRI due to contraindication
- Patient with psychogenic non-epileptic seizures
- Patients with progressive central nervous system disease, series hepatic or renal disease, or terminal cancer that would affect the assessment of response to ASMs
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Study design
Purpose of the study
Treatment
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Allocation to intervention
Randomised controlled trial
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Procedure for enrolling a subject and allocating the treatment (allocation concealment procedures)
Allocation was not concealed
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Methods used to generate the sequence in which subjects will be randomised (sequence generation)
Individual randomisation centralised and in blocks that are stratified by seizure type (focal vs. generalised onset) and site.
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Masking / blinding
Blinded (masking used)
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Who is / are masked / blinded?
The people receiving the treatment/s
The people assessing the outcomes
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Intervention assignment
Parallel
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Other design features
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Phase
Not Applicable
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Type of endpoint/s
Efficacy
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Statistical methods / analysis
• Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test stratified by centre to compare 1-year seizure free rate; retention rate of initial treatment at 1-year and proportion of patients with clinically meaningful QoL improvement
• Cox regression to assess time to treatment failure and time to first seizure after treatment initiation
• Calculation of model sensitivity. Specificity and AUC using a probability threshold of 0.55 to classify treatment failure/success
• Calculation of quality adjusted life years (QALYs) using utility score indices from EQ-5D-5L heath states and overall QOLIE-31 score
• Calculation of 1-year seizure free-rate
• Cost differences and effect differences for 10,000 bootstrap draws from trial dataset over 1-year time horizon (possible extension if trial results demonstrate increase in seizure-free rate and quality of life, or reduction in costs)
• Plotted on a cost-effectiveness plane and cost-effectiveness acceptability curve
• Assessment of precision, sensitivity and scenario analysis
• Mixed method process evaluation to examine:
o Neurologist decision to enrol
o Neurologist decision to prescribe ML model recommended ASM
• Iterative qualitative interview of minimum 25% of neurologists and epilepsy patients to review acceptance of ML recommended ASM
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Recruitment
Recruitment status
Recruiting
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Date of first participant enrolment
Anticipated
1/08/2023
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Actual
2/02/2024
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Date of last participant enrolment
Anticipated
1/08/2025
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Actual
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Date of last data collection
Anticipated
1/09/2026
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Actual
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Sample size
Target
234
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Accrual to date
1
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Final
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Recruitment in Australia
Recruitment state(s)
NSW,QLD,SA,WA,VIC
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Recruitment hospital [1]
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The Alfred - Melbourne
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Recruitment hospital [2]
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Royal Melbourne Hospital - City campus - Parkville
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Recruitment hospital [3]
24007
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Austin Health - Austin Hospital - Heidelberg
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Recruitment hospital [4]
24008
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Box Hill Hospital - Box Hill
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Recruitment hospital [5]
24009
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Monash Medical Centre - Clayton campus - Clayton
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Recruitment hospital [6]
24010
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Royal Brisbane & Womens Hospital - Herston
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Recruitment hospital [7]
24011
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Royal Perth Hospital - Perth
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Recruitment hospital [8]
24012
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Royal Prince Alfred Hospital - Camperdown
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Recruitment hospital [9]
24013
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Prince of Wales Hospital - Randwick
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Recruitment hospital [10]
24014
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Westmead Hospital - Westmead
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Recruitment hospital [11]
24016
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The Royal Adelaide Hospital - Adelaide
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Recruitment hospital [12]
24017
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The Queen Elizabeth Hospital - Woodville
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Recruitment hospital [13]
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Royal North Shore Hospital - St Leonards
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Recruitment postcode(s) [1]
39492
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3004 - Melbourne
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Recruitment postcode(s) [2]
39493
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3050 - Parkville
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Recruitment postcode(s) [3]
39494
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3084 - Heidelberg
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Recruitment postcode(s) [4]
39495
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3128 - Box Hill
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Recruitment postcode(s) [5]
39496
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3168 - Clayton
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Recruitment postcode(s) [6]
39497
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4029 - Herston
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Recruitment postcode(s) [7]
39498
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6000 - Perth
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Recruitment postcode(s) [8]
39499
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2050 - Camperdown
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Recruitment postcode(s) [9]
39500
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2031 - Randwick
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Recruitment postcode(s) [10]
39501
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2145 - Westmead
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Recruitment postcode(s) [11]
39503
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5000 - Adelaide
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Recruitment postcode(s) [12]
39504
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5011 - Woodville
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Recruitment postcode(s) [13]
39505
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2065 - St Leonards
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Funding & Sponsors
Funding source category [1]
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Government body
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Name [1]
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National Health and Medicine Research Council
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Address [1]
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NHMRC - Melbourne,
414 La Trobe St,
Melbourne,
VIC 3000,
Australia
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Country [1]
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Australia
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Primary sponsor type
University
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Name
Monash University
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Address
Wellington Road
Clayton VIC 3800
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Country
Australia
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Secondary sponsor category [1]
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None
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Name [1]
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Address [1]
314891
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Country [1]
314891
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Ethics approval
Ethics application status
Approved
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Ethics committee name [1]
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Alfred Hospital Research Committee
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Ethics committee address [1]
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The Alfred, 55 Commercial Rd, Melbourne, VIC 3004
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Ethics committee country [1]
312403
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Australia
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Date submitted for ethics approval [1]
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01/03/2023
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Approval date [1]
312403
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12/05/2023
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Ethics approval number [1]
312403
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Summary
Brief summary
To establish the (1) effectiveness, (2) cost-effectiveness and (3) acceptability of our machine learning (ML) model compared to usual care in selecting the first anti-seizure medication (ASM). Hypothesis: (1) seizure-free rate at 1 year of treatment with the first ASM will be higher in the machine learning group. (2) quality of life, depression and anxiety will improve more in the ML group, and ML model will be more cost-effective. (3) ML model will be acceptable to patients and clinicians. This is a multicentre randomised controlled trial (RCT) across all six states of Australia. Adults will be randomised 1:1 to ML Group (ASM recommended by the ML model) or the UC Group (ASM selected by the neurologist) and followed for 12 months. A sample size of 234 (including 10% dropout) participants will allow for measure of a minimum absolute difference of 20% in 1-year seizure-free rate on the first ASM between the study group (55% ML vs. 35% UC).
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Trial website
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Trial related presentations / publications
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Public notes
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Contacts
Principal investigator
Name
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Prof Patrick Kwan
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Address
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Monash University
Central Clinical School
99 Commercial Road
Melbourne, VIC 3004
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Country
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Australia
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Phone
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+61 3 90762552
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Fax
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Email
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[email protected]
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Contact person for public queries
Name
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Daniel Thom
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Address
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Monash University
Central Clinical School
99 Commercial Rd,
Melbourne, VIC 3004
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Country
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Australia
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Phone
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+61 450807412
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Fax
124535
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Email
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[email protected]
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Contact person for scientific queries
Name
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Patrick Kwan
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Address
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Monash University
Central Clinical School
99 Commercial Road
Melbourne, VIC 3004
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Country
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Australia
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Phone
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+61 3 90762552
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Fax
124536
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Email
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[email protected]
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Data sharing statement
Will individual participant data (IPD) for this trial be available (including data dictionaries)?
No
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No/undecided IPD sharing reason/comment
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What supporting documents are/will be available?
No Supporting Document Provided
Results publications and other study-related documents
Documents added manually
No documents have been uploaded by study researchers.
Documents added automatically
No additional documents have been identified.
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